🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Yoel Romero vs Robert Whittaker
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yoel Romero
Robert Whittaker
21%
79%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
40
Age
Δ 14y
26
14-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
28-9
W8
Current streak
W7
8
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Romero: 48 sig / 4 TD ·
Whittaker: 74 sig / 0 TD
Yoel Romero
Robert Whittaker
56
Sig strikes landed
67
126
Sig strikes attempted
166
78
Total strikes landed
74
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
6.8
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
100s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
14-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database
8 fights · 8-0
Last 5
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
Blue corner
W7
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
28-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—