Prelims1
Featherweight
Alex Caceres vs Rolando Dy
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alex Caceres
Rolando Dy
64%
36%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
L2
Current streak
—
16
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Caceres: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Dy: 20 sig / 1 TD
Alex Caceres
Rolando Dy
51
Sig strikes landed
43
101
Sig strikes attempted
99
69
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
116s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
16 fights · 7-8
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
Blue corner
Rolando Dy
"Dy Incredible"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27