Main
Women's Bantamweight
Holly Holm vs Bethe Correia
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Holly Holm
Bethe Correia
64%
36%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 5"
64"
36
Age
Δ 2y
34
15-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
11-6-2
L3
Current streak
D1
6
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Holm: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Correia: 15 sig / 0 TD
Holly Holm
Bethe Correia
60
Sig strikes landed
61
146
Sig strikes attempted
129
89
Total strikes landed
77
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
166s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
80%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
Blue corner
D1
Bethe Correia
"Pitbull"
11-6-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—