Prelims1
Lightweight
Takanori Gomi vs Jon Tuck
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Takanori Gomi
Jon Tuck
77%
23%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
39
Age
Δ 6y
33
35-15
Career record
Δ 7 pp
10-6
L3
Current streak
L2
11
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Gomi: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Tuck: 7 sig / 0 TD
Takanori Gomi
Jon Tuck
37
Sig strikes landed
45
76
Sig strikes attempted
106
51
Total strikes landed
59
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
35-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
11 fights · 4-7
Last 5
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
Blue corner
L2
Jon Tuck
"Super Saiyan"
10-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—