Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dan Hooker
Ross Pearson
80%
20%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 6"
69"
27
Age
Δ 5y
33
24-15
Career record
Δ 7 pp
20-17
L1
Current streak
L3
6
UFC fights in our DB
20
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hooker: 69 sig / 0 TD ·
Pearson: 38 sig / 0 TD
Dan Hooker
Ross Pearson
54
Sig strikes landed
45
134
Sig strikes attempted
90
67
Total strikes landed
52
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
Blue corner
L3
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
20 fights · 9-10
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—