Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marco Beltran
Deiveson Figueiredo
19%
81%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
31
Age
Δ 2y
30
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Beltran: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Figueiredo: 17 sig / 2 TD
Marco Beltran
Deiveson Figueiredo
21
Sig strikes landed
29
59
Sig strikes attempted
60
33
Total strikes landed
50
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
72s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marco Beltran
"Psycho"
8-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30