Prelims2
Women's Bantamweight
Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ketlen Vieira
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
·T-Mobile Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Ketlen Vieira
22%
78%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
7-6
Career record
Δ 23 pp
17-5
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Evans-Smith: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Vieira: 71 sig / 1 TD
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Ketlen Vieira
30
Sig strikes landed
36
86
Sig strikes attempted
90
56
Total strikes landed
79
0.4
Takedowns landed
3.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
71s
Control time
255s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ashlee Evans-Smith
"Rebel Girl"
7-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
Blue corner
W1
Ketlen Vieira
"Fenomeno"
17-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—