Prelims2
Welterweight
Bryan Barberena vs Joe Proctor
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Bryan Barberena
Joe Proctor
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
18-13
Career record
Δ 7 pp
11-6
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Barberena: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Proctor: 8 sig / 0 TD
Bryan Barberena
Joe Proctor
48
Sig strikes landed
42
98
Sig strikes attempted
103
70
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
122s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
L1
Joe Proctor
11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—