Back to UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Jessica Penne vs Danielle Taylor

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov ·Bridgestone Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Jessica Penne
Danielle Taylor
50% 50%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 7"
60"
34
Age
Δ 7y
28
14-10
Career record
Δ 13 pp
10-4
L2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Penne: 69 sig / 1 TD · Taylor: 72 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Penne
Danielle Taylor
45
Sig strikes landed
44
126
Sig strikes attempted
106
76
Total strikes landed
67
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
230s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
86%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jessica Penne

14-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
W1

Danielle Taylor

"Dynamite"
10-4
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—