Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cub Swanson
Artem Lobov
90%
10%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 5"
65"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
32-14
Career record
Δ 23 pp
14-15-1
W3
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Swanson: 209 sig / 2 TD ·
Lobov: 123 sig / 2 TD
Cub Swanson
Artem Lobov
88
Sig strikes landed
56
153
Sig strikes attempted
122
98
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
84s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Cub Swanson
32-14
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
Blue corner
W2
Artem Lobov
"The Russian Hammer"
14-15-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—