Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jenel Lausa
Magomed Bibulatov
33%
67%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lausa: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Bibulatov: 51 sig / 2 TD
Jenel Lausa
Magomed Bibulatov
43
Sig strikes landed
39
97
Sig strikes attempted
106
48
Total strikes landed
58
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
40s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jenel Lausa
8-5
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
Magomed Bibulatov
"Chaborz"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29