Prelims1
Welterweight
Kamaru Usman vs Sean Strickland
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
·KeyBank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Kamaru Usman
Sean Strickland
38%
62%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
22-4
Career record
Δ 3 pp
32-7
W4
Current streak
W3
4
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Usman: 90 sig / 2 TD ·
Strickland: 27 sig / 0 TD
Kamaru Usman
Sean Strickland
46
Sig strikes landed
46
114
Sig strikes attempted
114
68
Total strikes landed
70
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
6.7
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
297s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Kamaru Usman
"The Nigerian Nightmare"
22-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
Blue corner
W3
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—