🏆 Title fight
Main
Light Heavyweight
Daniel Cormier vs Anthony Johnson
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
·KeyBank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Cormier
Anthony Johnson
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
78"
38
Age
Δ 5y
33
23-3
Career record
Δ 9 pp
23-6
W3
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Cormier: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Johnson: 22 sig / 1 TD
Daniel Cormier
Anthony Johnson
46
Sig strikes landed
38
73
Sig strikes attempted
84
95
Total strikes landed
54
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
227s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
23-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
Blue corner
W3
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
23-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—