Back to UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Prelims2 Middleweight

Gerald Meerschaert vs Ryan Janes

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne ·Scotiabank Centre
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Gerald Meerschaert
Ryan Janes
78% 22%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
29
Age
Δ 6y
36
38-22
Career record
Δ 15 pp
11-3
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Meerschaert: 3 sig / 0 TD · Janes: 3 sig / 1 TD
Gerald Meerschaert
Ryan Janes
49
Sig strikes landed
31
113
Sig strikes attempted
91
57
Total strikes landed
40
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
120s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gerald Meerschaert

"GM3"
38-22
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
Blue corner
W1

Ryan Janes

11-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—