Main
Heavyweight
Derrick Lewis vs Travis Browne
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
·Scotiabank Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Derrick Lewis
Travis Browne
74%
26%
Why
79"
Reach
79"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
30-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
18-8-1
W5
Current streak
L2
10
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lewis: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Browne: 21 sig / 0 TD
Derrick Lewis
Travis Browne
33
Sig strikes landed
27
58
Sig strikes attempted
52
45
Total strikes landed
31
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
108s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
30-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
Blue corner
L2
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
18-8-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
15 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—