🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Featherweight
Holly Holm vs Germaine de Randamie
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
·Barclays Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Holly Holm
Germaine de Randamie
62%
38%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
15-8
Career record
Δ 4 pp
11-5
L2
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Holm: 77 sig / 0 TD ·
de Randamie: 80 sig / 0 TD
Holly Holm
Germaine de Randamie
51
Sig strikes landed
55
117
Sig strikes attempted
128
71
Total strikes landed
75
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
283s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
Blue corner
W2
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—