Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bobby Nash
Li Jingliang
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nash: 39 sig / 1 TD ·
Jingliang: 37 sig / 0 TD
Bobby Nash
Li Jingliang
40
Sig strikes landed
48
96
Sig strikes attempted
108
42
Total strikes landed
62
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
60s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bobby Nash
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
W1
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
20-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—