Main
Women's Bantamweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Julianna Pena
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
·Ball Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Julianna Pena
81%
19%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
14-6
W1
Current streak
W4
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Shevchenko: 13 sig / 2 TD ·
Pena: 27 sig / 1 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Julianna Pena
35
Sig strikes landed
30
70
Sig strikes attempted
79
67
Total strikes landed
64
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.8
3.6
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
182s
Control time
223s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
Blue corner
W4
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—