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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ricardo Ramos vs Michinori Tanaka

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Michinori Tanaka
67% 33%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
22
Age
Δ 5y
26
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ramos: 45 sig / 0 TD · Tanaka: 28 sig / 2 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Michinori Tanaka
40
Sig strikes landed
30
80
Sig strikes attempted
66
60
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
3.2
1.2
Takedowns attempted
7.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
121s
Control time
270s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ricardo Ramos

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
Blue corner
L1

Michinori Tanaka

11-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
W UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
W UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov