Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Daniel Jolly vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Jolly
Khalil Rountree Jr.
31%
69%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
32
Age
Δ 6y
27
5-4
Career record
Δ 10 pp
15-8
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jolly: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Rountree Jr.: 3 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Jolly
Khalil Rountree Jr.
22
Sig strikes landed
37
52
Sig strikes attempted
54
35
Total strikes landed
35
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.8
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.70
72s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daniel Jolly
"The Werewolf of Texas"
5-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
Blue corner
L2
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—