Prelims2
Welterweight
Alex Morono vs Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alex Morono
Niko Price
66%
34%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
25-13
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-11
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 2
Morono: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Price: 23 sig / 0 TD
Alex Morono
Niko Price
37
Sig strikes landed
41
80
Sig strikes attempted
107
52
Total strikes landed
55
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
0.4
Takedowns attempted
7.9
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
56s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
Blue corner
W1
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
17-11
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—