🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Amanda Nunes vs Ronda Rousey
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Ronda Rousey
79%
21%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
24-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
12-3
W4
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nunes: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Rousey: 7 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Ronda Rousey
34
Sig strikes landed
27
58
Sig strikes attempted
52
56
Total strikes landed
40
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
199s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
13%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
55%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
Blue corner
L1
Ronda Rousey
"Rowdy"
12-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—