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Josh Stansbury vs Devin Clark

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Josh Stansbury
Devin Clark
34% 66%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
5-8
Career record
Δ 20 pp
14-10
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stansbury: 36 sig / 0 TD · Clark: 47 sig / 1 TD
Josh Stansbury
Devin Clark
32
Sig strikes landed
32
59
Sig strikes attempted
57
54
Total strikes landed
51
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
122s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Josh Stansbury

"The Sandman"
5-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
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Blue corner
L1

Devin Clark

"Brown Bear"
14-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
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