Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Francimar Barroso vs Darren Stewart
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Francimar Barroso
Darren Stewart
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
37
Age
Δ 11y
26
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Barroso: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Stewart: 7 sig / 1 TD
Francimar Barroso
Darren Stewart
37
Sig strikes landed
35
67
Sig strikes attempted
72
56
Total strikes landed
49
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.4
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
231s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Francimar Barroso
"Bodao"
19-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
Blue corner
Darren Stewart
"The Dentist"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26