Back to UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Prelims1 Welterweight

Charlie Ward vs Abdul Razak Alhassan

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 ·The SSE Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Charlie Ward
Abdul Razak Alhassan
38% 62%
Why
36
Age
Δ 5y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ward: 2 sig / 0 TD · Razak Alhassan: 12 sig / 0 TD
Charlie Ward
Abdul Razak Alhassan
30
Sig strikes landed
33
67
Sig strikes attempted
72
36
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
108s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Charlie Ward

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
Blue corner

Abdul Razak Alhassan

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31