Prelims1
Middleweight
Magnus Cedenblad vs Jack Marshman
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
·The SSE Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Magnus Cedenblad
Jack Marshman
38%
62%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
W4
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cedenblad: 36 sig / 3 TD ·
Marshman: 42 sig / 0 TD
Magnus Cedenblad
Jack Marshman
25
Sig strikes landed
20
55
Sig strikes attempted
40
43
Total strikes landed
43
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.9
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
227s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Magnus Cedenblad
"Jycken"
15-5
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
Blue corner
Jack Marshman
"The Hammer"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27