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Main Heavyweight

Timothy Johnson vs Alexander Volkov

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 ·The SSE Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Timothy Johnson
Alexander Volkov
13% 87%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
80"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Johnson: 43 sig / 1 TD · Volkov: 45 sig / 1 TD
Timothy Johnson
Alexander Volkov
24
Sig strikes landed
33
54
Sig strikes attempted
70
43
Total strikes landed
51
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.2
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
223s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Timothy Johnson

13-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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L UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
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W UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
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Blue corner

Alexander Volkov

"Drago"
0-0
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28