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Prelims2 Bantamweight

Alejandro Perez vs Albert Morales

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson ·State Farm Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alejandro Perez
Albert Morales
74% 26%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
27
Age
Δ 2y
25
W2
Current streak
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4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Perez: 61 sig / 1 TD · Morales: 79 sig / 0 TD
Alejandro Perez
Albert Morales
37
Sig strikes landed
31
73
Sig strikes attempted
76
51
Total strikes landed
36
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Alejandro Perez

"Turbo"
24-9-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
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L UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
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W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
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Blue corner

Albert Morales

"The Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25