Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Shane Campbell
Felipe Silva
62%
38%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 6"
77"
30
Age
Δ 3y
32
L2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Campbell: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 11 sig / 0 TD
Shane Campbell
Felipe Silva
36
Sig strikes landed
37
72
Sig strikes attempted
77
53
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
180s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Shane Campbell
"Shaolin"
14-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
Blue corner
Felipe Silva
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32