Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Chad Laprise
Thibault Gouti
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
13-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
12-6
L2
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Laprise: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Gouti: 4 sig / 0 TD
Chad Laprise
Thibault Gouti
40
Sig strikes landed
35
98
Sig strikes attempted
86
59
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
143s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Chad Laprise
"The Disciple"
13-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
L2
Thibault Gouti
"GT"
12-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—