Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joe Lauzon
Jim Miller
41%
59%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
29-16
Career record
Δ 3 pp
40-19
W1
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Lauzon: 54 sig / 3 TD ·
Miller: 80 sig / 0 TD
Joe Lauzon
Jim Miller
29
Sig strikes landed
29
71
Sig strikes attempted
68
42
Total strikes landed
38
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Joe Lauzon
29-16
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
15 fights · 8-7
Last 5
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
40-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
18 fights · 11-6
Last 5
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—