Back to UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Prelims1 Featherweight

Teruto Ishihara vs Horacio Gutierrez

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres ·Delta Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Teruto Ishihara
Horacio Gutierrez
86% 14%
Why
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
11-7-2
Career record
Δ 5 pp
4-4
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ishihara: 13 sig / 0 TD · Gutierrez: 5 sig / 0 TD
Teruto Ishihara
Horacio Gutierrez
38
Sig strikes landed
30
106
Sig strikes attempted
86
54
Total strikes landed
30
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.80
Knockdowns
0.10
58s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Teruto Ishihara

"Yashabo"
11-7-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 1-0
Last 2
W UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
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D UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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Blue corner
L1

Horacio Gutierrez

"The Punisher"
4-4
Career record
Height
70"
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
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