Prelims1
Welterweight
Court McGee vs Dominique Steele
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
·Delta Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Court McGee
Dominique Steele
59%
41%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
32
Age
Δ 3y
28
23-15
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-10
L1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 15 sig / 4 TD ·
Steele: 23 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Dominique Steele
49
Sig strikes landed
48
123
Sig strikes attempted
109
76
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.8
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
114s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Court McGee
"The Crusher"
23-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
L1
Dominique Steele
"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
14-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—