Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Jessica Eye vs Bethe Correia
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
·Quicken Loans Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jessica Eye
Bethe Correia
55%
45%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
15-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-7-1
L3
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Eye: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Correia: 49 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Eye
Bethe Correia
54
Sig strikes landed
56
130
Sig strikes attempted
118
77
Total strikes landed
77
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
133s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
15-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner
L2
Bethe Correia
"Pitbull"
11-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—