Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Fabricio Werdum
Travis Browne
62%
38%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
39
Age
Δ 5y
34
24-10-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-8-1
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Werdum: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Browne: 37 sig / 0 TD
Fabricio Werdum
Travis Browne
53
Sig strikes landed
36
84
Sig strikes attempted
82
73
Total strikes landed
41
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
93s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
24-10-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
L
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
Blue corner
L1
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
18-8-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
14 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—