Back to The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Prelims2 Welterweight

Li Jingliang vs Anton Zafir

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Li Jingliang
Anton Zafir
73% 27%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
19-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
7-4
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jingliang: 6 sig / 1 TD · Zafir: 5 sig / 2 TD
Li Jingliang
Anton Zafir
38
Sig strikes landed
25
88
Sig strikes attempted
63
63
Total strikes landed
39
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
128s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Li Jingliang

"The Leech"
19-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
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W UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
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Blue corner
L1

Anton Zafir

"The Professor"
7-4
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
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