Prelims2
Lightweight
Efrain Escudero vs Kevin Lee
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Efrain Escudero
Kevin Lee
53%
47%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 6"
77"
30
Age
Δ 7y
24
28-13
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-9
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Escudero: 70 sig / 1 TD ·
Lee: 64 sig / 1 TD
Efrain Escudero
Kevin Lee
38
Sig strikes landed
44
97
Sig strikes attempted
106
52
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
91s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28-13
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
Blue corner
L1
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—