Prelims2
Featherweight
Renato Moicano vs Zubaira Tukhugov
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
·Arena da Baixada
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Renato Moicano
Zubaira Tukhugov
58%
42%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
27
Age
Δ 2y
25
22-7-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
21-6-1
W1
Current streak
W3
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Moicano: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Tukhugov: 29 sig / 3 TD
Renato Moicano
Zubaira Tukhugov
42
Sig strikes landed
37
115
Sig strikes attempted
96
55
Total strikes landed
41
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
78s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Renato Moicano
22-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
Blue corner
W3
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
21-6-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
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