Main
Heavyweight
Ben Rothwell vs Junior Dos Santos
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
·Zagreb Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ben Rothwell
Junior Dos Santos
82%
18%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
40-14
Career record
Δ 6 pp
21-10
W4
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Rothwell: 77 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Santos: 157 sig / 0 TD
Ben Rothwell
Junior Dos Santos
39
Sig strikes landed
58
107
Sig strikes attempted
110
50
Total strikes landed
68
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
81s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Ben Rothwell
40-14
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
Blue corner
L1
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21-10
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—