Main
Light Heavyweight
Igor Pokrajac vs Jan Blachowicz
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
·Zagreb Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Igor Pokrajac
Jan Blachowicz
43%
57%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
37
Age
Δ 4y
33
28-14
Career record
Δ 1 pp
29-12-2
L4
Current streak
L2
11
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pokrajac: 35 sig / 0 TD ·
Blachowicz: 98 sig / 4 TD
Igor Pokrajac
Jan Blachowicz
24
Sig strikes landed
32
48
Sig strikes attempted
53
44
Total strikes landed
49
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
143s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
28-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
11 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
Blue corner
L2
Jan Blachowicz
29-12-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—