Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ken Shamrock
Royce Gracie
47%
53%
Why
52
Age
Δ 3y
49
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ken Shamrock
Royce Gracie
31
Sig strikes landed
31
53
Sig strikes attempted
59
43
Total strikes landed
55
2.3
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ken Shamrock
"The World's Most Dangerous Man"
28-18-2
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
52
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 138: Unfinished Busine…
—
Blue corner
Royce Gracie
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
49