Prelims2
Lightweight
Ross Pearson vs Chad Laprise
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
·Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ross Pearson
Chad Laprise
39%
61%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
20-17
Career record
Δ 18 pp
13-5
L1
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Pearson: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Laprise: 78 sig / 0 TD
Ross Pearson
Chad Laprise
53
Sig strikes landed
54
131
Sig strikes attempted
132
54
Total strikes landed
65
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
84s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
16 fights · 8-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
Blue corner
L1
Chad Laprise
"The Disciple"
13-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—