Main
Welterweight
Johny Hendricks vs Stephen Thompson
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Johny Hendricks
Stephen Thompson
60%
40%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
75"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
19-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-9-1
W1
Current streak
W5
13
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hendricks: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Thompson: 24 sig / 0 TD
Johny Hendricks
Stephen Thompson
55
Sig strikes landed
53
107
Sig strikes attempted
114
72
Total strikes landed
57
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
165s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
19-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
L
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W5
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
18-9-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—