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David Teymur vs Martin Svensson

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
David Teymur
Martin Svensson
78% 22%
Why
27
Age
Δ 4y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Teymur: 38 sig / 1 TD · Svensson: 13 sig / 0 TD
David Teymur
Martin Svensson
42
Sig strikes landed
42
98
Sig strikes attempted
105
58
Total strikes landed
58
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

David Teymur

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
Blue corner

Martin Svensson

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Age
31