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Teemu Packalen vs Thibault Gouti

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Teemu Packalen
Thibault Gouti
54% 46%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Packalen: 6 sig / 0 TD · Gouti: 0 sig / 0 TD
Teemu Packalen
Thibault Gouti
34
Sig strikes landed
34
68
Sig strikes attempted
61
46
Total strikes landed
56
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
163s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Teemu Packalen

"Pacu"
8-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
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Blue corner

Thibault Gouti

"GT"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29