Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Anderson Silva
Michael Bisping
58%
42%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
41
Age
Δ 4y
37
34-11
Career record
Δ 2 pp
31-9
L2
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Silva: 75 sig / 0 TD ·
Bisping: 108 sig / 0 TD
Anderson Silva
Michael Bisping
47
Sig strikes landed
52
106
Sig strikes attempted
132
51
Total strikes landed
72
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
6s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
34-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41
In our database
9 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
L
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
Blue corner
W2
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—