Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rob Font
Joey Gomez
73%
27%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Font: 52 sig / 1 TD ·
Gomez: 15 sig / 1 TD
Rob Font
Joey Gomez
31
Sig strikes landed
17
78
Sig strikes attempted
45
43
Total strikes landed
20
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
69s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rob Font
23-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
Blue corner
Joey Gomez
"KO King"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30