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Francimar Barroso vs Elvis Mutapcic

UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz ·TD Garden
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Francimar Barroso
Elvis Mutapcic
54% 46%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barroso: 57 sig / 1 TD · Mutapcic: 38 sig / 0 TD
Francimar Barroso
Elvis Mutapcic
39
Sig strikes landed
33
81
Sig strikes attempted
70
62
Total strikes landed
51
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.1
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
192s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Francimar Barroso

"Bodao"
20-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
L UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
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W UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
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Blue corner

Elvis Mutapcic

"The King"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30