Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Ilir Latifi vs Sean O'Connell
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
·TD Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Ilir Latifi
Sean O'Connell
48%
52%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
34
Age
Δ 1y
32
18-9
Career record
Δ 0 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Latifi: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
O'Connell: 1 sig / 0 TD
Ilir Latifi
Sean O'Connell
32
Sig strikes landed
36
72
Sig strikes attempted
75
44
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
70s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
18-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sean O'Connell
"The Real OC"
18-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—