Women's Featherweight
Julia Budd vs Roberta Rovel
Bellator 146: Kato vs. Manhoef
·WinStar World Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Julia Budd
Roberta Rovel
85%
15%
Why
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Julia Budd
Roberta Rovel
49
Sig strikes landed
43
100
Sig strikes attempted
98
70
Total strikes landed
58
1.3
Takedowns landed
3.4
0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
366s
Control time
211s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Julia Budd
11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlem…
—
Blue corner
Roberta Rovel
"Crusher"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"